Nathan Moore's Thoughts
Polls and Trolls
The perverse glee that some on the port side of the blogosphere have shown over Bush’s poll numbers appears to have largely resulted from a Rather-esque spirit of inaccuracy
First off is some extremely large scale bias by CBS in “reporting” that Bush has an “all time low” approval rating of 34%…among a poll crowd that was 40% Democrat, 33% independent, and only 26% Republican! Out of 1018 people polled, 409 were Democrats, 333 were Independents, and only 272 were registered as Republican. And even weighted, the Democrats had almost a 10% lead over both Independents and Republicans. Hardly fair if you ask me.
Uhh, methodology, anyone? The poll results claim in a rather vague way that the results were weighted, but why the sample was so skewed ex ante is unexplainable. Further, there is no explanation by CBS as to how the results were weighted.
So enjoy your glee, my excitable leftist brethren. The midterms are getting closer, and so far, you still don’t have a message that goes beyond Bush’s “approval” ratings. You might need to work on that.
(thanks to Rob Huddleston for the link).
UPDATE More on the poll here and here.
February 28th, 2006 at 2:59 pm
The Left: HAHA. The polls show Bushie’s approval ratings are dismal.
The Right: Polls don’t matter.
And on and on and on.
February 28th, 2006 at 3:11 pm
Nathan,
Unless you don’t accept that poll numbers placing Bush in the low 40’s were accurate. How is it unbelievable that following this Ports deal and an emerging civil war in Iraq, that Bush would drop a few points? I am with you that Bush having low poll numbers won’t swing power over to the Democrats (especially in Diebold voting precincts) but they will have a negative effect on the Republicans.
May 10th, 2007 at 3:29 pm
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December 17th, 2007 at 3:23 pm
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